Towards a Theory of the Future
Market Cycles

Market Cycles
Behavioural Cycles

Astronomical Cycles
Harmonics - Geometry
Links and References

Market Cycles

Anyone who has studied economic cycles in any depth will have encountered the frustration of applying the concept of traditional periodic cycles to unravel the cycles of the past and project them into the future. Such traditional cycle analyses(like Fourier/spectral analyses) can shed some light on the characteristics of economic and market behaviour, but that light usually confirms that regular periodic cycles wax and wane in strength with time, but more importantly that they invert just when you're ready to believe in them! Traditional thinkers (who have remembered too many of the rules they learned at school) usually use this as the reason to assure their colleagues that anyone who believes that any market is ultimately predictable is a lunatic. Some even go so far as to believe that market behaviour is a random phenomenon! They are blind to the elegant geometry that unites all market behaviour whether it be a commodity, like Pork Bellies, or an index, like the DJIA or the Australian All Ordinaries Index.

The geometry that unites the time-price behaviour of the markets is linked to the relationships which describe the behaviour of atomic structure of matter, the growth of living cells and the clockwork mechanism of the universe of which we are an integral part. History has often confirmed that "the answer is simple", though the pathways to any profound answer involve complex investigation, freedom of thought and a touch of inspiration. E = mc2 surely is a beautiful example of a simple equation which describes a complex but universal concept. The markets of the world are affected by many complex fundamental factors... are they governed by a simple set of relationships? I believe they are.

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